Our latest book is titled Divided We Stand: The 2020 Elections and American Politics. The 2024 race has begun. The nomination phase has effectively ended. After losing everywhere except DC and Vermont, Haley will drop out.
At Politico, Zach Montellaro reports:
Former President Donald Trump paved the way for Mark Robinson.The presidential primary in MN had an unpleasant surprise for Biden:
Robinson, a candidate in North Carolina’s GOP primary for governor Tuesday, has done all the things that would normally make someone a toxic general election candidate: He’s called homosexuality “filth,” made antisemitic remarks about Hollywood controlling Black people and expressed retrograde views about women.
But it was in Minnesota, which hasn’t gone for a Republican for president since Richard Nixon in 1972, where Biden saw a less surprising but more threatening setback. The “uncommitted” option on the ballot there had as big a night as it did in Michigan, winning 19 percent of the vote with 89 percent counted. The state’s politically significant Somali population, concentrated around the Twin Cities, rebuked Biden’s handling of the Israel-Hamas war.
The Akin ploy worked in California:
Schiff may have ticked off liberals by elevating Republican Steve Garvey, but the gambit worked. Garvey easily beat out Democratic Rep. Katie Porter for the second spot in the general election — which means an almost-certain Schiff victory in the fall.
CA Dems may have avoided a top-two lockout:
In addition to Schiff successfully dragging Garvey into the general election, Democrats appeared to have avoided a lockout in one of the state’s most competitive congressional districts, in the Central Valley, though the race for the seat currently held by GOP Rep. David Valadao was still too close to call early Wednesday morning.