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Thursday, June 1, 2023

Tim Scott, Low Baseline

Our latest book is titled Divided We Stand: The 2020 Elections and American Politics.  The early stages of the 2024 race have begun.

From Morning Consult:

  • Nearly 3 in 5 potential Republican primary voters (56%) said they had seen, read or heard “nothing” about Scott following his May 19 campaign launch, while 38% heard something positive and 7% heard something negative.
  • Buzz around Scott’s campaign launch may have been overshadowed by news surrounding Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis’ own 2024 announcement a few days later. Nearly 7 in 10 potential GOP voters (68%) said they heard about DeSantis after he launched his bid on May 24, and it was mostly positive.
  • Scott’s level of support in the primary field increased 2 percentage points to 3% while his favorability rating increased 3 points to 44%, according to Morning Consult’s 2024 GOP primary tracker. Both figures are within the surveys’ margin of error.
  • More voters said they hadn’t heard anything about entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy (76%) or former Arkansas Gov. Asa Hutchinson (78%) after their campaign announcements in February and April, respectively, while far more heard about Haley’s campaign announcement.
  • Scott is more popular than not among the overall electorate, with 28% saying they view him favorably and 21% saying they view him unfavorably. Still, less than half of all voters (49%) have formed views about him at the dawn of his campaign, making him less known than any other contender besides Ramaswamy (39%) and Hutchinson (34%).
  • In turn, Scott performs poorly in a head-to-head matchup against Biden at this juncture in the campaign — just like Haley did when she launched her campaign in February — largely due to lack of name recognition.