Unusual aspects of 2024:
- Biden is the oldest-ever major candidate. Trump is close behind.
- Trump seeks to be the first former president since Cleveland to regain the White House.
- Trump is the first major-party candidate to run while under indictment. There was a minor-party candidate who got a million votes while in prison.
But early polls are not a reliable guide
Five ways Biden could lose:
1. Recession
3. Scandal
4. Spoiler
Two ways Trump could lose:
1. Age and health
2. Indictment tipping point
- Documents
- Georgia
- New survey: