Our recent book is titled Divided We Stand: The 2020 Elections and American Politics. Among other things, it discusses the state of the parties. The state of the GOP is not good. Trump is now under indictment. And there are signs that the tide is turning against the GOP.
WSJ BADGERS GOP ON ABORTION — As is often the case, a big DONALD TRUMP spectacle blotted out some other major political news this week.
A quiet unease among Republicans about the election results in the Midwest on Tuesday is now a full-blown freakout.
In Wisconsin, JANET PROTASIEWICZ, campaigning unapologetically on abortion rights, won an open Supreme Court seat, giving Democrats a 4-3 majority on the court, which is now likely to strike down an 1849 law banning abortion.
In Chicago, progressive BRANDON JOHNSON defeated moderate PAUL VALLAS in the mayoral contest.
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“I don’t think Democrats have fully processed that this country is now 10 to 15 percent more pro-choice than it was before Dobbs in state after state and national data,” CELINDA LAKE recently told New York mag’s Rebecca Traister.
OK, sure, she’s a pro-choice Democratic pollster.
But here’s what The Wall Street Journal editorial page says today: “the Badger State results are a five-alarm warning to Republicans about 2024.”
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We suspect the Journal’s warning will be closely read this morning in Tallahassee, where Republicans, who have a supermajority in the state legislature, are poised next week to send Gov. RON DeSANTIS a bill to ban abortion after six weeks of pregnancy. (The previous threshold was 24 weeks, and after Dobbs, a new law reduced it to 15 weeks.)
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Related reads: “Wisconsin and Chicago elections expose liabilities in GOP case for ’24,” by Shia Kapos and Christopher Cadelago … “Wisconsin’s stunning outcome puts MAGA Republicans in a serious bind,” op-ed by WaPo’s Greg Sargent … “The pulsating state politics that could shape America more than Trump’s legal woes,” by CNN’s Stephen Collinson