Our new book is titled Divided We Stand: The 2020 Elections and American Politics. Among other things, it discusses state elections. The biggest off-off-year election is the CA recall. It could be tight:
Among registered voters, "No" to the recall effort is 8 pts higher than "Yes" to recall Newsom.
— CBS News Poll (@CBSNewsPoll) August 15, 2021
But among likely voters - which includes those who say they'll definitely vote & express the most motivation to actually do so - the contest shrinks to a 4-point "No" edge for Newsom pic.twitter.com/7KzUTAfPw5
For those looking to oust Newsom, there's a mix of rationales: First, unsurprisingly, a desire to oppose him, which is even higher than the partisan push to "try to get a Republican into office." And about half of them are just "trying to shake things up" pic.twitter.com/yYlzgt7lw3
— Anthony Salvanto (@SalvantoCBS) August 15, 2021
Newsom Recall (CBS/YouGov)
— Rob Pyers (@rpyers) August 15, 2021
RV
Recall Y: 46
Recall N: 54
LV
Recall Y: 48
Recall N: 52
Replacement:
25% ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
23% Larry Elder
20% No one
13% Kevin Paffrath
5% Someone Else
3% Kevin Faulconer
3% Kevin Kiley
3% John Cox
2% Doug Ose
2% Caitlyn Jennerhttps://t.co/7lAWVA6k57 pic.twitter.com/HhhiQOvPoX
He did not bow deeply enough for the Trumpy right:Here is his clip from a few days ago, where he said the exact opposite. Just like Dan Crenshaw and others are learning, it’s increasingly clear that to survive a GOP primary, you are forced to embrace the Big Lie, whether you believe it or not. pic.twitter.com/nb47B8mgC5
— Ron Filipkowski (@RonFilipkowski) August 14, 2021
Larry Elder attempts a “mulligan” on the Biden “fair and square” comment, and still goes into the sand trap.
— Jenna Ellis (@JennaEllisEsq) August 15, 2021
Rule of the game: Shouldn’t wear flip-flops while playing.https://t.co/41rXG28Ykm
