In Defying the Odds, we discuss demographic gaps in the 2016 election. The update -- just published --includes a chapter on the 2018 midterms.
Chris Krueger of Cowen Washington Group has a stark reminder of one of the biggest 2020 issues not named Donald Trump:
- There are 13 House Republicans who are women (out of 197 — 7%).
- There are 14 House Republicans named Greg or Mike.
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Hillary Clinton won women 54% to 42%, while Trump took 53% of white women voters.
In last year's midterms, the WashPost's Dan Balz saw a "revolt among suburban women ... that played out in district after district."
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Another GOP impediment in suburbs is racial diversity, as the country grows more non-white. National Journal's Josh Kraushaar frames it bluntly:
- "As Democrats have rapidly diversified their ranks in the last several elections, Republicans have grown more homogeneous."
- "Only 11 of the 255 Republican members of Congress are nonwhite."