The 2014 Midterm: An Overview

The Big Picture

The economy

• GDP
• Unemployment and labor force participation

Public opinion

• Approval of the president
• Attitudes toward ACA

House Elections

• Gerrymandering:  intentional and unintentional
• Generic vote

Senate Elections

• The peculiar cycle of Senate elections
• Republicans threw away seats in 2010 and 2012
• This time, they might not.
• Michigan
• Arkansas
• Oregon

California

• Top two and turnout
• Donnelly
• An double-edged endorsement